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	<title>Social Alpha &#187; Prem Melville</title>
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		<title>How Twitter Predicted Apple Stock Movement Before Its Product Announcements</title>
		<link>http://www.social-alpha.com/twitter-predicted-apple-stock-movement-product-announcements/</link>
		<comments>http://www.social-alpha.com/twitter-predicted-apple-stock-movement-product-announcements/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2014 21:45:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Prem Melville]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Social Indicator Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leading indicator]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sentiment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[twtr]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[volatility]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.social-alpha.com/?p=451</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>On September 9th, Apple announced two new iPhones, the Apple Watch and a new Apple payment system. Shares of the company closed with a slight decline after having risen almost 5 percent, in what was a very volatile day for Apple. (See Business Insider for extended coverage of Apple’s announcements.) But even before the markets opened, the more [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.social-alpha.com/twitter-predicted-apple-stock-movement-product-announcements/">How Twitter Predicted Apple Stock Movement Before Its Product Announcements</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.social-alpha.com">Social Alpha</a>.</p>
]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On September 9<sup>th</sup>, Apple announced two new iPhones, the Apple Watch and a new Apple payment system. Shares of the company closed with a slight decline after having risen almost 5 percent, in what was a very volatile day for Apple. (See <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/apple-share-price-tuesday-september-9-2014-9">Business Insider</a> for extended coverage of Apple’s announcements.)</p>
<p>But even before the markets opened, the more than usual social chatter around Apple on Twitter forecasted the upcoming volatility in the price of AAPL. The Apple stock continues to be a social media sweetheart, with more than 3,000 tweets about it on regular days. But on the morning of September 9th, there was an unusual uptick in social buzz around AAPL, leading up to a staggering 13,000 messages on Twitter about the stock, just within a 6-hour period. Intelligent anomaly-detection algorithms were able to detect this unusual trend early on; and half an hour before the market opened, messages were sent out alerting investors to the rocky day ahead for Apple.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://premmelville.files.wordpress.com/2014/09/sa-aapl-alert.png"><img class="size-large wp-image-26 aligncenter" src="http://premmelville.files.wordpress.com/2014/09/sa-aapl-alert.png?w=492&amp;h=353" alt="sa aapl alert" /></a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Sophisticated Computational Linguistic techniques are able to rapidly assess the opinions of thousands of analysts and investors in the matter of nanoseconds, and thus gauge the social pulse of the market. This social market-sentiment tends to be a leading indicator of stock price movements. The significant rise and fall of sentiment around AAPL was clearly reflected in the price 6 hours later.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://premmelville.files.wordpress.com/2014/09/sa-aapl-dashboard-2014-09-06.jpg"><img class="size-large wp-image-26 aligncenter" src="http://premmelville.files.wordpress.com/2014/09/sa-aapl-dashboard-2014-09-06.jpg?w=492&amp;h=353" alt="sa aapl dashboard 2014-09-06" /></a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.social-alpha.com/twitter-predicted-apple-stock-movement-product-announcements/">How Twitter Predicted Apple Stock Movement Before Its Product Announcements</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.social-alpha.com">Social Alpha</a>.</p>
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